Statistics for occurrence #1 of “Mr. A. H. Stephens” in chapter 1.56 of Southern Historical Society Papers, Volume 19.:

...de the difference between an army captured in Vicksburg and an unconquered one outside of it. The investment of Vicksburg was completed of the 19th, and its surrender was then but a matter of time. Mr. A. H. Stephens states, that on the 23d of June, he was informed, at the War Department, that the surrender of Vicksburg was inevitable. If the beseiged could not escape the beseigers at the beginning of the seige...
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